Monday, October 11, 2021

Tata Consultancy Services Operating Performance Misses Expectations In Quarter 2 Of Fiscal 2021-22

Shares Hold

CMP: Rs3936  |  Target Price: Rs3700

■    TCS Q2 operating performance missed expectations, reporting lower-than-expected revenue and EBITM. Revenue grew 4.2%/15.5% QoQ/YoY in CC terms. EBITM expanded by ~10bps QoQ to 25.6% due to headwinds from supply-side inflation and currency.

■    Revenue growth was broad-based and all verticals posted double-digit CC growth YoY. Growth was led by Manufacturing (21.7% CC YoY), Life Sciences & Healthcare (19%), Retail & CPG (18.4%), and BFSI (17%). All geographies, except for Asia Pacific, posted double-digit growth YoY.

■    Strong and sustained demand environment, broad-based growth, healthy deal intake (USD15.7bn in H1), and traction in cloud, enterprise application services, analytics and IoT give management confidence of sustaining a robust revenue growth trajectory.

■    We cut our FY22/23/24 EPS estimates by 1.2%/0.3%/0.3% after factoring in the Q2 performance miss. The operating performance miss for the second consecutive quarter and rich valuations will weigh on stock performance. Maintain Hold with a TP of Rs3,700 (28x Sep'23E EPS).

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