FADA Releases October’22 & 42 Days Festive Period Vehicle Retail Data In India

On YoY basis, total vehicle retail for the month of October’22 saw a growth of 48%. All the categories closed in green. 2W, 3W, PV, Trac and CV were up by 51%, 66%, 41%, 17% and 25% respectively. 

When compared with October’19, a pre-covid month, total vehicle retails for the first time closed in green with an increase of 8%. Except 3W which saw a marginal dip of -0.6%, all the other categories were in green with 2W, PV, Trac and CV growing by 6%, 18%, 47% and 13%.  

During the 42 days festive period, total vehicle retails were up 28% YoY. All categories were in green with 2W, 3W, PC, Trac and CV growing by 26%, 66%, 28%, 33% & 28% respectively. 

As anticipated earlier, this turns out to be the best festive period for PV segment which showed an increase of 2% when compared to 2020 festivals, the earlier best. 

When compared to pre-covid festive of 2019, overall retails were up by 6%. All the categories were in green with 2W, 3W, CV, PV and Trac growing by 2%, 2%, 14%, 18% and 55% respectively. 

2022 Festive season turned out to be the best in last 4 years. 

The Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations (FADA) released Vehicle Retail Data for October’22 and 42 days festive period.  

October’22 and Festive Period Retails 

Commenting on how October’22 and Festive Period performed, FADA President, Mr. Manish Raj Singhania said, “Auto Retail for the month of October’22 saw an overall growth of 48%. With most of the month under festive period, the sentiments were extremely positive across all categories of Dealership outlets.  

Even when compared to pre-covid month of 2019, overall retails for the first time closed in green by growing 8%. Except 3W, which saw a marginal dip of -0.6% all the other categories like 2W, PV, Trac and CV grew by 6%, 18%, 47% and 13% respectively.  

Festive’22 brings cheers to the Auto Industry as for the first time customers of every category came out in good numbers and took part in festive purchases thus making it the best in last 4 years. As anticipated earlier, PV segment saw the best year in a decade by outgrowing 2020 numbers by 2%. When compared to pre-covid festive of 2019, overall retails were up by 6%. All the categories were in green with 2W, 3W, CV, PV and Trac growing by 2%, 2%, 14%, 18% and 55% respectively. 

The 2W segment showed a huge growth of 51% YoY and for the first time, 6% compared to Oct’19, a pre-covid year. With both Navratri and Deepawali majorly falling in a single month, the month of October saw double foot fall at Dealerships. Dealers say that sentiments have also started improving at the rural level but the same needs to sustain for at least next 3-4 months. Apart from this, new launches and good customer schemes also played a pivotal role in helping revival in demand.  

The 3W segment showed a massive growth of 66% YoY but was marginally below the red line in 2019 by de-growing -0.6%. The sub-category figures clearly show that shift is happening towards EV adoption while ICE vehicles are no more favourites. In few pockets due to permit issues, new vehicle sales have taken a hit during the month.  

The PV segment showed a growth of 41% YoY and 18% when compared to 2019. PV segment continues to see extremely high demand especially in SUV and Compact SUV segments including higher variants in most of the product categories. With better vehicle availability coupled with new launches, the segment also witnessed the best Festive Period in a decade by surpassing 2020 festival sale by 2%. 

The CV segment continues to come back on track by growing 25% YoY and 13% compared to 2019. Festivities ignited better fleet sales. With Mining and Infrastructure projects increasing in various regions, demand has been keeping well and is also coming back on track.”  

Near Term Outlook 

With festivities ending, the immediate next month generally witnesses a certain amount of softness in sales. While farmers will start receiving their crop realisations, the overall sentiment continues to show some headwinds especially in the 2W rural segment. For auto retails to show strength, the 2W segment will have to grow for at least 3-4 months over pre-covid months to come out of the woods.  

The CV segment is anticipated to see continued demand due to rising infra projects and government spending. While the PV segment continues to outperform, demand in entry level segment continues to show some softness.  

Most of the OEMs will now start migrating towards manufacturing OBD-2 norms vehicles. This will definitely see a steep price increase across all categories of vehicles as and when they hit the market. Also with year-end coming close, many customers wait for vehicles manufactured in the new year.  

FADA hence remains cautious as the Auto Industry approaches the year end period.   

Key Findings from our Online Members Survey 

Inventory at the end of October’22 

Average inventory for Passenger Vehicles ranges from 35 – 40 days 

Average inventory for Two – Wheelers ranges from 40 – 45 days 

Liquidity 

Good                    45.9% 

Neutral                35.9% 

Bad                        18.2% 

Sentiment 

Good                    44.1% 

Neutral                 37.1% 

Bad                        18.8% 

Expectation from November 

Growth                42.4% 

Flat                         32.9% 

De-growth          24.7%